Saturday, December 08, 2012

TOYOTA & HONDA: SUCCESSION

Toyota & Honda are in trouble... And now, they have new leaders too! But really, have the batons been passed onto the right man? Will they deliver?

Moreover its product-mix includes two-wheelers, which is serving it well in emerging markets. Yes, it’s also true that the company is not immune to global environment, and that it has to delete names from its rolls and curb production for months to come; but having said that, the job ahead for Ito appears less rougher than his Toyota counterpart, and the fact that Honda still expects to close FY2009 with a profit of $860 million (an 86% drop as compared to 2008) stands allibi. And this is where we come to the ‘third-gen descendant’ Toyota President.

Research has proven it in the past – appointing a family CEO isn’t the best solution during times of trouble! To quote just two such works – the 2004 paper by Villalonga (HBS) & Raphael (Wharton) proved after an analysis of Fortune 500 firms that “when descendants of founders serve as CEOs, firm value is destroyed!” Then there was the 2005 report by Hillier (Leeds) & McColgan (Aberdeen) that revealed how family CEO successions are “almost always followed by dramatic declines in not only stock performance, but dangerously, even in operating results.” Indeed, besides the fact that Toyota has reduced its global sales target for 2009 by more than a million units, and that its losses would continue to mount, forcing it to shut plants in US and cut manpower further, it might just have made a succession planning bungle!

Times will get tougher for all in the industry as even Christian Breitsprecher, Analyst, Sal Oppenheim opines, “The scenario for the industry will only worsen in 2009 & I don’t see the industry making a comeback before end-2009.” The coming weeks will surely test the experience of both leaders and while you still wouldn’t want to complain about the powerless Honda engine or about your broken-down Toyota, do plan to pray; these men would surely need it. 


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPMMalay Chaudhuri

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